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降息和股市
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降息和股市
平价跨式期权价格显示,标普500指数将在美东时间周三美联储做出利率决议后上下波动1.2%
再从更长期看,在与有担保隔夜融资利率(SOFR)挂钩的期权市场中,最近的资金流动倾向于上行保护和调整鸽派对冲,这不仅是因为围绕9月份降息幅度的不确定,也因为掉期市场仍反映出美联储在今年年底前至少有一次50个基点的降息。
美国国债整体上仍然看涨,任何疲软似乎都为逢低买入开绿灯。上周,在通胀报告发布后,所有期限的美国国债期货未平仓合约均跃升,这表明投资者倾向于以较低的价格水平建立新的多头头寸。
在美日两国央行举行会议之际,外汇交易反映出两国货币政策前景的分歧。截至上周五,日元9月累计升值约3.7%,同期美元下跌0.7%。
基于风险逆转的定价,期权市场正在为未来一周和一个月美元兑日元进一步下跌做准备。交易员预计,随着美联储和日本央行即将做出利率决定,美元兑日元将跌破140,这是该货币对一年多来的关键支撑位。


这个主题的帖子
降息和股市 - by fee - 09-16-2024, 03:58 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by wilson - 09-16-2024, 04:26 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by fox - 09-16-2024, 09:41 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by gao - 09-16-2024, 09:43 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by lala - 09-16-2024, 09:44 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by ddd - 09-16-2024, 09:45 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by abc - 09-16-2024, 09:47 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by undo - 09-16-2024, 09:48 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by gary - 09-16-2024, 09:50 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by meta - 09-16-2024, 09:51 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by aon - 09-16-2024, 09:53 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tom - 09-16-2024, 10:03 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by loop - 09-17-2024, 06:26 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by for - 09-17-2024, 06:27 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by yuyu - 09-17-2024, 06:29 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by yam - 09-17-2024, 06:31 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tommy - 09-17-2024, 06:33 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tary - 09-17-2024, 06:36 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by fff - 09-17-2024, 06:37 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by eee - 09-17-2024, 06:39 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by ccc - 09-17-2024, 06:45 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by bbb - 09-17-2024, 06:46 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by bar - 09-17-2024, 06:47 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by fee - 09-17-2024, 06:49 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by foo - 09-17-2024, 06:50 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by fox - 09-17-2024, 06:57 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by gao - 09-17-2024, 06:58 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by lala - 09-17-2024, 09:10 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by abc - 09-17-2024, 09:12 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by undo - 09-17-2024, 09:13 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by gary - 09-17-2024, 09:14 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by meta - 09-17-2024, 09:16 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by aon - 09-17-2024, 09:17 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tom - 09-17-2024, 09:18 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tiff - 09-17-2024, 09:19 PM
RE: 降息和股市 - by tom - 09-28-2024, 03:30 PM

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